Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 89.518077 99.801897 110.297807 121.781239 133.961842 146.468431 160.251855
2025-02-02 75.385832 90.428926 106.426734 124.585291 144.507472 165.590791 189.482118
2025-02-09 64.464065 81.915882 101.070750 123.408347 148.506930 175.621912 206.918633
2025-02-16 55.991337 75.039491 96.552128 122.237844 151.686720 184.046923 221.955299
2025-02-23 50.332648 70.749573 94.393960 123.197527 156.778562 194.192039 238.540476
2025-03-02 45.009234 66.333942 91.641422 123.063360 160.269555 202.244936 252.529114
2025-03-09 40.876597 62.999654 89.858136 123.784636 164.511662 210.963283 267.116402
2025-03-16 36.306802 58.730304 86.619008 122.479918 166.132649 216.466462 277.858488
2025-03-23 33.648285 56.722325 86.007186 124.216081 171.249896 225.951851 293.139689
2025-03-30 31.415905 55.098852 85.737655 126.255795 176.642692 235.700740 308.692250
2025-04-06 28.267612 51.976158 83.345294 125.476202 178.474460 241.132943 319.109060
2025-04-13 24.729838 48.024725 79.642547 122.840227 177.862855 243.520201 325.826478
2025-04-20 23.843136 47.895685 81.052685 126.817365 185.538152 255.986187 344.669419
2025-04-27 22.607138 47.152713 81.570510 129.600362 191.710450 266.649234 361.402360
2025-05-04 20.173879 44.386505 79.154803 128.408535 192.775016 271.027353 370.549497
2025-05-11 17.964533 41.782170 76.822056 127.207358 193.733337 275.205804 379.404590
2025-05-18 16.587554 40.411193 76.162931 128.190808 197.445892 282.747912 392.319177
2025-05-25 15.015969 38.578356 74.736429 128.053318 199.653036 288.388170 402.899352
2025-06-01 13.803613 37.257605 73.989263 128.792186 202.961260 295.376235 415.116764
2025-06-08 12.184036 35.055881 71.811925 127.455627 203.480602 298.826641 422.963775
2025-06-15 11.419184 34.356950 71.876629 129.234130 208.094854 307.421102 437.149302
2025-06-22 10.776210 33.832379 72.175957 131.323289 213.112764 316.527971 451.982191
2025-06-29 9.576972 32.098259 70.498229 130.524836 214.227541 320.657323 460.633200